Saturday, May 19, 2012

SATURDAY BETFAIR HOLLYWOOD PARK




                    SATURDAY ANALYSIS BETFAIR


                                  BANK $100.00

                  A marathon card early post is 11 a.m.



RACE 1

One mile and a eighth on the turf high price allowance race. The speed looks to be Fire With Fire.....all systems looks like a go..... Juniper Pass on my watch list is coming back after 11 months off......He can fire fresh with a past of running fresh. Make Music For Me drops to face easier....He had a somewhat weird trouble trip in last.......expect he will be game in this race. A small field of five.....come catch David Flores while Rosario rides in the Preakness....

                1. Fire With Fire
                2. Make Music For Me
                3. Juniper Pass


$20 place onMake Music For Me


Pick Three 1,3 with  1,2,4,6 with 1,4  cost   $16.00

PAID $221.70










RACE 2

A suspect field of maidens 40´s........Hello Frankie exits a key maiden race...... for 75K.....now drops for the money run....might go favorite at post time. Patriotic Lion.....a head case looks to be the speed of this race......one of these days he will not stop......maybe today..... The first time starter Additional Demands looks like a runner to me....look Jeff Mullins is very good with first timers...... three out of seven starts......not bad!


              1. Additional Demands
              2. Hello Frankie
              3. Patriotic Lion

             longshot Eric The Ram









RACE 3


The Railbird at seven furlongs for three year old fillies.....Sister Moon is the only front runner-pressing the pace in this race....A very hard distance to wire the field...... she tells this group......come catch me if you can.....Killer Graces just runs better on this surface then anywhere else.....Check out her record.....three wins two seconds out of five starts....She has a killer turn of foot.....my concern is....can she catch Sister Moon relaxing on a fairly easy uncontested lead. Lady Fairbanks has not faced two fillies like the top ones......but she is very talented and gets the acid test on class.

             
              1. Sister Moon
              2. Via V
              3. Lady Fairbanks









RACE 4


A non winners of two for the claiming price of 16 G´s. I picked Sunshine High last time.....She ran a super race.....If she does not bounce then ...... come catch her as she is razor sharp. You might get a good price on her. Two comebackers look to be her main rival for a win.......Jeff Mullins sends out Lift Our Luck....... she has been away for 10 months......hits rock bottom.....Beware of Mike Mitchell horse Kalk Bay who has been away since last summer.....he go with these type coming back and firing fast off the bench. Lorenbray goes second off the claim for Jack Carvana who hits 25% of the type with this move. She has speed to maker her a contender. She is in form.....which is something to say with the two comebackers.....

               1. Sunshine High
               2. Lift Our Luck
               3. Kalk Bay

               Longshot Lorenbray













RACE 5

One mile for 50 G´s on the turf...... no real monsters here.....Leaving New York adds the blinkers and switches to a brand new surface..... Has not looked like he did in 011.... but he is talented when right. He needs to catch Red Defense.....who goes long around two turns.......bred to at least get the mile.....Lonesome Smokey....... gets a new look after running poorly over at Santa Anita.....He needs a new track.....this one he runs much better....... I expect a big performance..... Euroglide should do his fly by from off the track.


             1. Red Defense
             2. Lonesome Smokey
             3. Euroglide

            Longshot Leavin New York


Pick three 1,4,5,6 with 4,8 with 3,7  Cost $18.00


PAID $351.60







RACE 6



Four and half Cal Bred two year old baby race. Tough race with a number of interesting bred first time starters. Playful Council, Bodaway,Decent Dude, and Run To Ground exits the same race..... maybe winner out of that race....Playful Council had a troubled debut..... he most likely will improve if he breaks cleanly and stays out of trouble......Decent Dude looked green..... I expect with a race under his belt...he will challenge for the lead. Bodaway steadied late.... getting up for second..... He was well bet in his debut....The one to beat. The first time starter trained by Jerry Hollendorfer looks very scary first time out....Salty Evergreen who gets Bejarano rides this win early pedigree.......kin to Lady Railbird who debut when she was two and won.....beware!

               1. Salty Evergreen
               2. Bodaway
               3. Playful Council

              Longshot Decent Dude


$20 place on Bodaway


Pick three 4,8 with 3,7 with 2,3,6  cost $12.00

PAID $71.80








RACE 7

Bet On Victor my longshot play last time out....Came back from off the bench.....looked awesome whipping a tough group.....if he runs like he did last race.....He will win this condition. Sahara Sky has been knocking at the door at this condition. He has finish second both times......Check out those big speed numbers..... Hoorayforhollywood looks spotted for run a big race from the rail.......Baffert and Bejarano...... hard to bet against.....Korban comes back after nine months off.....He has a history of firing fresh.....like this track last summer and has speed to be near the pace.....if cranked up.....major contender..... a tough cast of salty characters....


             1. Bet On Victor
             2. Sahara Sky
             3. Horrayforhollywood

            Longshot Korban

$20 place on 3






RACE 8


A maiden special weight sprint for fillies and mares.... The scary one in this race at low odds is Marinda....She exits a key maiden race.....has super drills and looks like all systems a go! Check out those ultra fast works from the Neil French barn who usually runs them into shape...Camrye Kate looks very scary if she runs to those fast drills. Give My Regard broke slow from the gate...... with a race under her belt she should get this field all they can handle. Longshot pedigree is Táp Tap You It with Chatel riding this 20 to 1 ....daughter of Tapit....


           1. Marinda
           2. Camrye Kate
           3. Give My Regard

           Longshot Tap Tap You It


Pick 4   2,3,6 with 5,6,9 with 1,6  with 9,10


PAID $293.80


     


RACE 9

A wide open race..... Temple´s Door I pick to win in his debut.....then won and then won climbing the class ladder....He can run all day long so Iám not concern with the distance.....lack of fitness but then Jeff Mullins has strung together ten morning workout with him....The logical choice is Smug who almost won on opening weekend in the Inglewood Grade three race. Check the running line of Akkadian..... ran some fast races as a three year old. He comes back as a four year old with excellent works under tow..... I like him....

           1. Akkadian
           2. Temple´s Door
           3. Smug

          Longshot Key Decision


$20 place and show 9 

PAID $8.80  $5.00





RACE 10

One mile and a sixteenth Grade 2 Majorie L. Everett Handicap.....

The speed is Ellafitz who ran a dull race in the Santa Margarita. She is the one to catch.....my concern is her gap in workouts for trainer Baffert....  Zazu one of the top three year old fillies returns to start her four yeat old campaign. She has a ultra good record..... needs to catch Ellafitz. Include Me Out looked awesome in the Grade 1 Santa Margarita where she smoke three fillies in that race.....She is two for two around two turns......perfect record...if Zazu is cranked up then she looks scary for the win.....fitness and pace makes this race........!

           1. Zazu
           2. Include Me Out
           3. Ellafitz




RACE 11


A Grab bag in a maiden 20 G sprint......tough to handicap this wide open race.  A list of players.....Queen Mercury looks to be the speed of the race.....should like the half furlong less in distance. Tiz A Brite Miss had the perfect trip but had wraps and failed as the betting favorite. Swiss Charm adds the blinkers.......drops in class and get Gomez to ride....major contender here. The debut of Glorious Memories she ran into Vegas Rules the professional maiden that aired that day. Puype and Flores team up......needs to clear from the rail. I like the pedigree with Jenren Fitz Me the daughter of Siphon...... gets a perfect outside post to get away from any racing trouble....

             1. Tiz A Brite Miss
             2. Chimi Dee
             3. Swiss Charm
           
             Longshot Warren´s Passion


$20 PLACE ON CHIMI DEE













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