Thursday, October 22, 2015

THURSDAY ANALYSIS'






RACE 1       FIVE HALF FURLONGS
                           STATE BRED
                          50 G MAIDENS



ANALYSIS'

The final week of the Santa Anita Fall meet then the circuit goes to Del Mar....A Pick 6 Carryover 0f over 300G's starts in race three.

Redneck Crazy I bet before........good pedigree and runs better on the track then what appears in the DDF.

I expect that Small Town Shuffle will get plenty of betting action........Steve Miyadi trains this gelding..........Has speed and Corey re-rides this dude..........career top speed figures makes him a major player in this state bred juvenile maiden claimer.

I think the FTS on the rail looks very live..........Derby Chatter sired by Dixie Union which has speed in his genes.........He has been training down south at San Luis Rey Downs........do not like the rail........but I love the long works and pedigree coupled with the sneaky trainer and bug boy with weight off.



             1. Derby Chatter      $20 BET WIN
             2. Small Town Shuffle
             3. Finnerty's Folly

             FTS  Mike's Benchmark



RACE 2   ONE MILE STATE RESTRICTED
                    ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL




ANALYSIS'

I think this modest field is a real grab bag........so tread lightly!

Tatum's Gold first time in for a tag..........Ron Ellis trains........bred to get the distance......tried Stake race and drops in class........contender not a pretender.....! Her running style is a late running sprinter which fits a one mile.....

 Lucky S. J. makes her second start after a lay off. I like the long furlong works which sometimes indicate that she is fit for the distance........She has speed and dangerous early speed.......She has won at this condition.......beware!

 Quinnette ............. I have bet before and made money with her.......Ellis trains this six is a 6-year-old mare. She likes this course and has won...........speed which she should be near the lead and dangerous.......major player.

Sadie Clare a second starter. She switches back to the dirt after running on the turf......a late running sprinter which should relish the distance.


        1. Lucky S.J.
        2. Sadie Clare
        3. Quinnette.......might be favorite!

        Live Long Shot    Tatum's Gold



RACE 3        FIVE HALF FURLONGS
                STATE BRED 50 G MAIDENS


ANALYSIS'

On Paper Suavemente who has been gelded first time for trainer Jeff Bonde has run with much faster company and has dangerous speed...............cutback in a distance that I expect will be the controlling speed..........

Longshot Play.........is Hopelessly In Love............Tommy Town owned and trained by Steve Miyaid..........debut was against maiden special weight.......has win early pedigree.........expect much better performance in this spot.........


           1. Suavemente
           2. Hopelessly In Love
           3. Collect The Debt


           Long Shot look BK All The Way



RACE 4         SPRINT STATE BRED
                   TWO YEAR OLD FILLIES
                 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT




ANALYSIS'

I like the FTS Lucky To Win  sired by Cee's Tizzy out of the mare Tale Of The Cat........win early pedigree.......Harris Farms in the past has produced babies that win there debut............McCarthy has strung together plenty of morning works.......rare to see Bejarano ride for this stable............


               1. Lucky To Win
               2. Miz Mizen
               3. Roo's Valentine

              Long Shot Play Easy Grader






RACE 5       ONE MILE TURF
                      50 G MAIDEN'S


Prince of Prague debut was not good......walked and hopped out of the gate going five furlongs on the Del Mar dirt........bred for this distance and bred to relish the turf.......Hector Palma is having a white hot meet.......sired by AP Indy out of the mare War Front (Turf)...........takes off the blinkers......second start for this gelding.......bred in Florida and shipped West.......expect bombs away morning line is double digit........



           1. Prince Of Prague
           2. Broken Up
           3. Arm Wars


           Long Shot Lamaan





RACE 6   ONE MILE SIXTEENTH
                  ALLOWANCE RACE


             1. Perfect Set
             2. Fancy Shoes
             3. Ike Walker




RACE 7    ONE MILE FOURTH TURF
                    OPTIONAL CLAIMING



           1. Wanstead Gardens'
           2. Abbey Vale

          Long Shot Southern Freedom




RACE 8     NON WINNERS OF THREE
                 16 G FIVE HALF FURLONGS

ANALYSIS'








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