Saturday, January 7, 2012

SATURDAY SANTA ANITA PARK

              VALUE BETS FOR SATURDAY´S CARD
                             SANTA ANITA PARK



RACE 1

A modest field of three year old maiden fillies sprinting on the main track. The filly that I bet in her stakes debut did not draw in. Peter Miller sends out Silver Threat who ran a respectable debut. I like the Scream Queen who was the betting favorite in her last start with Silver Threat....She should love the added distance... Rosario rides for Art Sherman....

A daily double bet Scream Queen (6) and Unusual Jazz (5)


                 1. Scream Queen
                 2. Silver Threat
                 3. Ansede

Ex. Box and Tri Box   (1,3,6)



RACE 2

A tricky distance one mile and a eighth in this turf starter allowance..... This race looks suspect to me.... Sir Bell a nine year old that has both tactical speed and speed.... I like the horse that beat him two races back Unusual Jazz...

               1. Unusual Jazz

               2. Sir Bell

$20 Place and Show on Sir Bell

Ex. Box  4,5,10





RACE 3

Secret Circle stretches out to two turns... but she looks bred for this distance... Her race to win or lose. Asmussen sends out west a shipper who just broke Heirro....a high priced three year old... let´s see one first.... Out Of Bounds...loved the pedigree plus I really loved how he won from off the pace at Hollywood. He ran like he should love this distance.

               1. Secret Circle
               2. Out Of Bounds

EX BX 2,4






RACE 4


No solid opinion in this cheap sprint.... really looks very suspect with the morning line favorite.... Good race to bet against My Little Morgan and C. C. Smokey Lake a horse I picked by Salt Lake should like the drop in class..... might be a good value bet on the rail for trainer Sean McCarthy.... Flores rides..



RACE 5


A Down The Hill turf race for four year old fillies.... a good and interesting betting race. Mitchell sends out Bonita Star....who shortens up in distance.... a concern for me....Going For A Spin is another classy horse that shortens up in distance....Brown Is Beige has both tactical speed and speed to make this four year old filly loom large. Mizzen Donald a horse on my watch list after a very good maiden win.....then she has become a underachiever... Sean S is another very live longshot.... as I have said the favorites are shortening up in distance and might not take to this tricky down the hill course. A good value bet is the pick three....use....

5th     6,8,11
6th    3,4,8,11
7th       10        Cost $12.00


Late Pick Four

6th  3,4,8,11
7th      10
8th   4,6,7
9th     13          Cost $6.00





RACE 6

Bobby Flay and Consulado exits the same race.... Consulado beat Flay.... both logical contenders...... The first time starter by Asmussen Welter Weight gets Julien Leparoux with solid works and a win early pedigree. Richard Mandella sends out Only The Gold who looks like he will run better cuttung back to a sprint.... solid works and win early pedigree.



RACE 7

I been waiting for La Sombre to run again after getting beat by Miss Sea Cup last time out.... low odds but will single in the pick three.

          Pick Three 10 with 4,6,7 with 13  cost $3.00

         1. La Sombre





RACE 8

Hard to really gauge who the speed will be in the San Pasqual Stakes........over the distance of one mile and a sixteenth....Tres Borrachos ran a very good race in the Breeders Cup mile finishing third....in the Native Diver the distance was a question mark to me....He shortens up... expect much better. Tweebster adds the blinkers for Baffert.... He finish behind Tres Borrachos in the Native Diver... He also should like this distance. Uh Oh Bango is a interesting longshot here... Smith rides for Kory. I like him to upset this field.

                1. Uh Oh Bango
                2. Tres Borrachos
                3. Tweebsters

$20 Across the board on (7)





RACE 9

A tough maiden sprint for Cal Breds....three year olds. Three Vases drops into this maiden special weight sprint... I bet him in the Graduation Stakes at Del Mar last summer. A major player. Written Rule comes in fresh with excellent fast works in tow... Bejarano rides this contender...

              1. Three Vases

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