Saturday, December 31, 2011

SATURDAY SANTA ANITA PARK

SURGARINTHEMORNING




RACE 1

A very modest field of low rent maidens open´s the last day of the year. Tiabelle drops in class after walking out of the gate last race. She has speed and warrants respect here. But she will be a short price favorite. Golden Touch Of Gin might press the pace with the top choice. Offlee Cutie is spotted to run a good race. She has four solid works since her last start. Comebacker Be Brave Be Lucky adds the blinkers.....and gets weight off which is a plus. Warren´s Jazz Walk is fresh. Her best race was her first race........ I expect she just might be the value bet in this field.


                Longshot value play
                Warren´s Jazz Walk











RACE 2

A contentious wide open 32 G claimer on the turf. The pace looks contested with Mark The Bench, Hidden Blessings and  Matto Mado pressing the early pace. Stoneside is the horse for the course having won three times on this surface. Crossing The Line stretches to two turns for his closing style. He is a player. Violin Sacre has back class...watch out as he is fresh and dropping into a claimer for the first time.


               1. Violin Sacre
               2. Matto Mado
               3. Fantastic Pick
              



RACE 3

Bob Baffert sends out Princess Arabella in this talented maiden special weight sprint race. She has a breezing drill on Christmas day which indicates that she is ready to rumble first time out of the gate. My Sweet Candy looks to be on of her main rivals..... she should move forward therefore if the top choice needs a race under her belt....My Sweet Candy looms large for the win. Hidingplainsight switches to the dirt after a fairly good debut....she warrants respect. Love My Way has four starts and four thirds... Bejarano who has been red hot of late takes over for David Flores.... Bonnie Parker the shipper ...beware...check out her fast bullet works.... great pedigree to win early... she needs to clear from the rail is my only concern....but having said this she looms large with her excellent blue blood pedigree.

                   1. Princess Arabella
                   2. My Sweet Candy
                   3. Bonnie Parker

                   Pedigree price play
                   Hidinginplainsight







RACE 4

A tricky distance of seven furlongs for age restricted two year old for the price of 40 G´s. Mike Mitchell sends out a Woodbine shipper Bwana Be Gone....which looks to be the only speed in this race. Come Catch Her. O´Neil adds Runstevierun who I thought would climb the class ladder. He did not so he takes the drop in class. He looked very good on the dirt at Fairplex.... He is a major player on the rail. Del Siete Leguas had to go north to break his cherry. He is back fresh for Mike Puype as Flores rides this interesting live longshot....do not just dismiss this one.

                  1. Runstevierun
                  2. Bwana Be Gone
                  3. Del Siete Leguas

                  Horse for the course----Danger Ranger







RACE 5

A maiden special weight down the hill turf race for two year olds. Chickie Charms looked like he did not like routing last time out. He has speed with tactical speed. He cuts back to where he should love the distance...Come get him. Late Night Sky looks to be his main rival if the first time starters need a race. Late Night Sky beat Chickie Charm routing.... He cuts back in distance and should sit right behind the speed turning for home. He is a major player here. Time To Doubledown a colt I bet last time out ran like he was looking to run around the track..... He switches to the turf as he is bred for this surface... lookout as he looms large as can flat out win this race if the top two others falter down the lane.

                        1. Late Night Sky
                        2. Chickie Charms
                        3. Time To Doubledown

                        First time Starter pedigree play
                        Jakob´s Magic






RACE 6

A non winners of two... restricted 25 G claimer sprint on the main track..The race looks very suspect to me. Gothics Peak has speed and has been knocking on the door at this level. Delta Fix adds the blinkers after misfiring as the favorite .... Come Catch him if he loads smoothly in the gate.......drops for the money run here. Full Deputy has the mid pack closing style if the speed melts down...contender and player with good odds. Dubber should be pressing the pace for Baffert and Garcia..... deadly team hook up. Quinton´s Destiny a horse I have picked in the past and...look he has been a major disappointment after looking good winning his maiden race. Mitchell drops him and look who takes the call..... Leparoux.... all in with this head case. Boychik might be the class of the race with low morning odds...but has been off more then two years for Janet Armstrong....siding with other´s.

                 1. Quinton´s Destiny
                 2. DeltaFix
                 3. Dubber
             
                Longshot Full Deputy







RACE 7

The Eddie Logan...one mile of the turf looks to have a contested early pace with Chips All In and Champions Gate and Daddy Nose Best. A tough talented number of two year olds. Daddy Nose Best might be the scary class of the field. Champion Gate was pointed for this spot.....exits a nice turf workout last week.

                1. Daddy Nose Best
                2. Champion Gate
                3. Stoney Fleece

               Live Longshot Play
               Smart Ellis.....do not dismiss








RACE 8

The La Brea Stakes Grade 1 for three year old fillies going seven furlongs on the main track. The pace scenario.... Turbulent Descent is the fastest filly turning for home with her awesome turn of foot. If she falters then it is anyone´s race. Home Sweet Aspen did not like the turf. I expect returning to the dirt we will see a better performance then the turf experiment. Great Hot had a butual month running in three races......it took it´s toll on her in the Breeders´ Cup....She has been freshened up...so I expect a big performance. The X Factor is Sugarinthemorning who I expect will outrun her odds..... do not dismiss her. May Day Rose is another game filly that can give Turblent Descent a run for her money. Teddy´s Promise and Include Me Out will pick up the pieces.

On paper Turbulent Descent is the class of the race....if she falter´s then it´s anyone´s race....May Day Rose is the quickest...should be out front pressing the pace....come catch her...


              1.  Turbulent Descent
              2.  Sugarinthemorning
              3.  May Day Rose

              Longshot Teddy´s Promise
             

            





RACE 9

Leaving New York has been freshened up for this spot. Checkout the works.......ready to rumble from the rail. Capital Account comes in fresh with solid works. Batti Man the horse from Argentian...looks like a runner to me. Jim´s No Preacher should press a hot pace....watch out!

              1. Leavin New York
              2. Capital Account
              3. Batti Man

              Longshot Jim´s No Preacher

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