Saturday, November 5, 2011
BREEDERS CUP' SATURDAY CHURCHILL DOWNS
BREEDERS CUP SATURDAY
Starting Bank of 250 dollars
Pick Five Play
1. 8 Jump Up !
2. 3,8
3. 9,11
4. 3,4,8,13
5. 1,2,3,5,7,8 cost $48.00
RACE 3 BREEDERS CUP' MARATHON
Cease if stays at the morning line might get me to bet this race. Cozzene the sire of Brigantin who the BC Mile 26 years ago. And Meeznah seems to get better the farther she goes.... a top filly in Europe..... I might pass this race.
RACE 4 BREEDERS CUP' JUVENILE TURF
The speed looks to be Majestic City first time turf who fired a bullet on October 22 working on the turf. Finale is 3 for 3 on the turf. A logical choice. Alex Solis should get a relaxing trip along the rail with Shkspeare Shaliyah with speed to his outside. I expect he will outrun his odds today with his first to last closing kick.....at a sweet price of 15 to 1. Farraaj a Euro longshot looks very interesting as he has been first or second in all four starts...... should move forward and be overlook at the betting windows.
1. Farraaj.....game on
2. Shkspeare Shaliyah....talented with good post
3. Majestic City with Finale....the horses to fear.
RACE 5 SENTIENT JET BREEDERS CUP SPRINT
Bob Baffert sends out Euroears who has one speed......... fast to the front end..... I was at Del Mar when he beat Smiling Tiger this year. He needs a clean fast break on the rail...... Come Catch this one if he breaks fast and quick. Amazombie should stalk the pace. I will back the California shippers.....While the distance is short for Aikenite...... He needs a quick and fast pace but he will be closing........ might outrun the tote board odds. Force Freeze is a interesting live longshot who has a good stalking style that is improving. Gaint Ryan has won six straight races.... Big Drama the defending champion on his best day can take this field. He has two starts this year..... might not be the same Drama this year. Jackson Blend is better running longer but he is sharp.... beware..........fun race to watch and bet.
1. Euroears
2. Amazombie
3. Aikenite
$20 across the board on Amazombie
RACE 6 BREEDERS CUP TURF SPRINT
This looks like a wide open five furlong turf sprint to me. Rapport will be pressing the front end early. I like Camp Victory in this spot. I like he is improving and should like the distance and the post. Caracortado a class act might need a longer distance to run at.....He runs well fresh...... will be closing late with Talamo who know him well.....He needs to get into the race from the start of the bell. Havelock has won his last four turf sprints..... He gets the acid test on class but might be this good.
Regally Ready I know well........must include.
1. Camp Victory
2. Caracortado
3. Havelock
Regally Ready the one to beat!
Pick Three 8,10,12,13 with 3,4,5,9 with 1,2,7
RACE 7 BREEDERS CUP DIRT MILE
Both front runner Tapizar and the Factor will be one dimensational pressing a fast and quick pace. Tapizar was very impressive on the derby trail.... talented!.... Great morning line at 20 to 1.... Tres Borrachos should love the pace dual here ..... setting it up to chill...then tag them at the wire.....he looks in good form....and I had him this year at Del Mar when he won... I'am taking two longshots in this mile race.
1. Tapizar
2. Tres Borrachos
3. Trappe Shot
RACE 8 EMIRATES BREEDERS CUP TURF
My selections :
1. Sea Moon
2. Sarafina
3. St. Nicolas Abbey
4. Miday
Longshot play Teaks North
Late Pick Four 1,2,7 with 2,9,10 with 1,3,5,7,11 with 5,10
RACE 9 BREEDES CUP JUVENILE
Union Rags three for three has improved each start. He tries two turns but after looking at his last race.. I love the after burners he showed. Drill takes the blinkers off for Baffert....in the Norfolk he was rank and looked like the slow pace did him in....He should improve big time with his second route race. Creative Cause had the perfect trip in the Norfork....a slow pace...this pace will be must faster.... Alpha broke slow got in traffic trouble and finished respectable last race........ I like this one here... will give this field his best....with good odds.... Hansen is the untested rabbit..... so watch out.... and Dullahan shows his pedigree and talented on this dirt course......He just might outrun the favorite Union Rags. Daddy Long Legs tries the dirt for the first time but has excellent pedigree...... Take Charge Indy was very impressive in the Royal Lodge.........fun race to bet and watch.
1. Union Rags
2. Dullahan
3. Alpha
RACE 10 BREEDERS CUP MILE
Goldikova is seeking her fourth BC Mile victory today.... The bad news is her short price. Go Ponti is due after finishing second to Goldikova and the queen Zenyatta..... She fires each and every race and will be running late. Mr. Commons a three year old is improving..... Strong Suit another improving three year old has the talent to win this race...lot's to like and you will get a good price with her today. I like the way Courageous Cat came to the west coast and beat Cartacortado..... beware! Jeranimo can prove that the Oak Tree mile was no fluke.
1. Courageous Cat
2. Strong Suit
3. Goldikova
RACE 11 BREEDERS CUP CLASSIC
The mile and a quarter looks to have Game On Dude pressing the pace with a chance to wire the field....Hmmm... What an awesome year for Havre De Grace and for Jones and Ramon... She will have factions to run at.....with good speed figures and she can go the distance.... Uncle Mo is brilliant but can he go beyond a mile and a sixteenth begs the question.....owner and trainer think so.....we will see! Flat Out might be the wise guy horse with his morning drills over this track. So You Think is 12 for 19.....but is making his third start in a month..... Stay Thirsty has been training up a storm over this track...... Might just shock this field..........yes Rattlesnake Bridge has been training excellent according to the clockers....... might string one race together at 30 to 1...... The Belmont winner and a longshot Ruler On Ice is improving.....remember the Belmont Race ..... he should have pace to run at.
1. So You Think
2. Havre De Grace
3. Ruler On Ice
RACE 12 CHILUKKI STAKES
1. May Day Rose...... Baffert needs one
2. Anunicata
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