Sunday, February 19, 2012

SUNDAY

                              
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The card is one tough one... Linear Notes.... The exotic value bet has been the pick-five for 50 cents....pays excellent...much better then the pick fours....one more race to hit. In the future I will put together as my daily picks a pick five ticket.... Today would be hard....

RACE 1

Another Mike Mitchell big time dropper in a field void of any speed. A 16 G route claimer where R Vicarious Girl will be the favorite. Katy Kity should stalk behind R...Tripped The Light  claimed by Linda Mikus returns to the level she was claimed at. She the one that will be kicking for home down the stretch.



RACE 2

This looks tough as a number of theses horses has a shot to win this turf route claimer for 32 G´s.  Van Brit just wins races... takes a slight hike up in class....tough professional seven year old mare....She had to need her last race which she won... just might bounce ...just might not!

Bella Swan looks to be the speed ....She cuts back in distance....ideal for her... she might be tough to collar down the lane.

If Bella Swan gives if up then Skinny Genes...a horse on my watch list...and a underachiever....has a good turn of foot late... The clocker´s like her and so do I.... Pace makes the race!

Going For The Spin another Mitchell dropper gets Rosario to ride....Bejarano jumps off... goes to Glorified... I like Spin better then Glorified...







RACE 3

A sprint for the claiming price of 20 G´s. Look this is for four year olds. A number of speed horses figures to press a contested lead.... Thunder Of Zion drops after facing allowance company. He is back with friends... Speed Bias drops in class for trainer Kitchingman....I expect Talamo to send this one....He seems to give it up at this distance...Quintons Destiny a horse I saw win his maiden at Hollywood....looked very good...I then had him on my watch list....been a underachiever for Mike Mitchell before getting claimed by Armstrong....At even money morning line he will be overbet.... might be a spot to bet against him....It´s a gamble.. George Lopez a trainer up north sends out Floating Feather....He cuts back to a sprint after facing better.... His closing style is about right for this speed filled race...He will need a contested fast pace to run at. This son of Pulpit comes back quickly....


               1. Floating Feather
               2. Thunder Of Zion
               3. Quinton´s Destiny


$20 place and show 8


Pick Three  2,3,8 with 4,7 with 2,6

UPDATE PAID $76.80






RACE 4

I bet Our Merv in his US debut.... walked out of the gate then got steadied....but only lost by two lenghts.... Today He is eight to five in the morning line....blinkers go on...... the horse to beat!

The clocker´s like the morning work of Koast.... first time on turf for John Sadler...cost a cool 200 G´´s.  He exits two highly regarded races with American Act and Boemeister... bred for the turf...and look who gets back on him.... Rosario...at the morning line of 6 to 1.... He might just outrun theses odds. Only The Gold has run with some very talented maiden´s like Sky Kingdom and Consulado.... a high price colt out of the Richard Mandella barn..... bred for the turf with blueblood pedigree.

              1. Our Merv
              2. Koast
              3. Only The Gold

              Longshot Canuletmedowneasy

$20 place and show Koast






RACE 5

Baffert sends out two Star Presence and Awesomemundo... Star is quicker but Awesomemundo has been training with long fast works under tow... both contenders...Bwana Babe might turn out to be a good claim... She lost to Miss Radiance last time out... I picked Arte Viva to outrun his odds after a year long lay off down the hill.... She ran like a horse that was short....She is a blueblood that cost a half a million..... been a underacheiver... I do like his late closing style... expect much better ..because she finish full of run down the hill....A tough race here...both Miss Radiance and Bwana Babe can flat out win....

              1. Arte Viva
              2. Awesomemundo
              3. Star P

Pick three  2,6 with 10 with 2,3,5



RACE 6

In these filly maiden races I have noted that the Forty Niner fillies have outrun there odds...a win early pedigree ....This just might be the case with the first time start Dulcemia.... trained by Northern Cal. guy....Check out her on the track during warm up....

On paper the race looks like Ralphy Girl with Vegas Rules.... are the logical contenders with the dropper Raggin Wood..


           1. Dulcemia     Value Bet

$20 across the board on 10




Blue Plate Special

6th      10
7th     2,3,5
8th    4,6,8
9th     9,11






RACE 7


Ths San Vincente Stakes for three year olds at the distance of seven panals.. The Best horse is the top California two year old last year Creative Cause....He is the horse to beat.... like the last morning work...comes in fresh.... in the main concern....not that long of a layoff.... American Act exits a highly regarded maiden won beating Boemeister..... He has speed..... but will dual it out with Smoking G if he transfers his speed from the turf to the dirt. Drill is not the horse of last year when he beat Creative Cause at Del Mar..... But Baffert trains him....needs to rebound....distance is ideal for Drill...perfect at this distance.


            1. Creative Cause
            2. American Act
            3. Drill

            Longshot Smoking G



RACE 8

A starter allowance down the hill on turf.... interesting race with the top two contenders Platinum Mine and the red hot trainer and jockey combo of Mulhall and Rosario riding Blue Samurai.....One Fast Frog blew away maidens.... facing winners for the first time...

Lake Osceola needed time off.... She comes back for Mendoza.... She has faced in the past some tough talented horses.... I expect she might just light up the tote board.... must use in late exotics....interesting fact is she runs better on this surface the turf!  Trying to beat the top picks so take note.

                 1. Lake Osceola
                 2. Plantinum Mine
                 3. Blue Samurai





RACE 9

A tough way to end the card with a 30 G maiden sprint on the main track. Anna You´re Up is the morning line favorite....clockers like her too as she drilled with Our Merv..trained by Mitchell....H.J´s Kitty was hammered down to four to one in her debut facing better...She was pulled up and vanned off.... Last works indicate she deserves another shot... A excellent trainer that fires big time with first time starters is Terry Knight.... Gem In The Rough.....gets the red hot bug boy Flores to ride and the clockers like this one.....looks very live right from the starting gate.....I can see her winning this one.  But check the tote board for more clues. Dancethe way you are is the upsetter ....drops from maiden maiden weight..... excellent pedigree.....clockers like this also...add as a longshot!


               
                 1.  Dancetheway you are
                 2.  Ann You Up
                 3.  HJ Kitty

$20 place and show Dancetheway you are

            

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