Saturday, July 25, 2015

SATURDAY'S SPOT PLAYS






ROI UPDATE  $20.00 WIN RACE 4 FRIDAY PAID $64.00 MINUS $20.00 EQUALS ROI $44.00......MINUS $4.00 LATE PICK THREE......FRIDAY ROI $40.00

                              BANK $140.00 minus $20 $120.00





RACE 6

A maiden special weight sprint for two year olds. A contentious  wide open sprint...........I had to make a stand so this is my selections......


             1. Dressed in Hermes  
             2. Exaggerator        (win)
             3. Nuke Laloose

              Live pedigree play American League





RACE 7

A high price allowance one mile turf race for fillies and mares three year old and up!

ANALYSIS'

A good betting race for the public.........contentious wide open turf miler............ Sweet Rose broke her cherry over this course last summer...........off for a vacation and she came back finishing a strong second.........full of run......She makes her 3rd start off that layoff.

Peter Miller sends out Zanbo who bounced in her last race........no valid excuses but I can excuse her as she loves this course.......A horse for the course as Victor takes the iron..........I like the morning line on her...........should get a good value bet as she has been hot in the claim box coupled the odds should be around eight to one or higher.........

Art Sherman hires Gary Stevens to ride a stone cold closer Show Steale......She should have a really good pace to run at.........love the morning line of 12 to 1................


              1. Zanbo           Bet to place.......
              2. Show Steale
              3. Sweet Rose

              Long Shot Hiking






LATE PICK FOUR   8,9,10,11 WITH 4 WITH 1,2,5 WITH 8,10

COST $12.00






RACE 8      SAN DIEGO HANDICAP

One mile and a sixteenth on the main track open for three year olds and up!


ANALYSIS'

Bayern........the Breeder's Cup Classic winner comes back and is stretching around two turns in the feature race on Today's card.........In the Met Mile he ran crazy quick factions........I expect that the pace will be slower and he can draft right behind the speed Appealing Cat........He can draft and chill behind Cat if he needs too.........Many bettor's have given up on Bayern because of his first two races in 2015.........I still think he is super talented and can win rebounding off the Met Mile........
He has Early speed and ran with Private Zone.........major player in the Breeders Cup Sprint..........I expect the pace will be slower and not as quick as he found in two fast stake races.......Baffert trains this 4 year old colt and Martin just might go to the lead from the start of this race.......come beat me if you can might be the tune.

If you look at his races around two turns his speed figures are excellent........


            1. Bayern
            2. Hoppertunity
            3. Catch A Flight

           Long Shot  Majestic City



RACE 9

A six and a half elongated sprint optional claimer for three year old and up!

ANALYSIS'

The speed looks to be Micks Miracle and K 38............I was really impressed with how easy Micks Miracle broke his maiden last Decemeber..........very talented that day.........In his come back race he ran like a short that was short......broke slow then was shuffled back.......did not like how he gave up.......but finally the light came on and he finished full of run getting third.........I expect he will be more on the muscle...........might be the one to beat if the rail horse does not take to the inside post........Unblunted has talent..........He can show speed or he can draft behind the pace leaders then kick clear........It all depends on how he takes to the inside post.......yesterday the rail seemed to be a place where you do not want to be......The rail might be drying out.........so I like him......here........The betting public might over look him.........



             1. Unblunted
             2. Micks Miracle
             3. K 38

            Long Shot  Syndicated   (bet to show)




RACE 10

Tough way to end today's nightcap a mile and a sixteenth maiden special weight turf race for fillies and mares.......


ANALYSIS'

Contentious maiden turf race...........Peter Eurton team up with Rafael Bejarano on Perdona........daughter of Blame out of the mare Storm Cat who should relish the switch to the turf.......first time on the turf and the distance........player on the rail!

Scandal cost 250 G's and long overdue to break her cherry........Mike Smith won with Scandal and was DQ'ed...........strictly the one to fear...She has been a money burner the favorite that has two seconds in her last two races.........Smith knows her and the trainer adds the blinkers today expecting her to be more focus and on the muscle able to kick clear down the lane.

Interesting pedigree bred the Zayat Stables is Margaret Ray...........daughter of Pioneer Of The Nile.......trained by Proctor and the kid climbs aboard as she has been off for 50 days.......She is better routing then sprinting...........should love the added distance..........

Sweeter Then Candy.........love the Candy Ride pedigree......She ran some quality turf races as a two year old........beware!...........Prat is up for Glatt.........love how this jockey has been riding on the turf.........


            1. Scandal
            2. Sweeter Then Candy   BET place
            3. Perdona

            Long Shot Margaret Ray









           

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