Saturday, August 23, 2014

SATURDAY

RACE 1

ANALYSIS:


Tim's Go Girl is red hot at the claim box.........She cuts back to a dash as Doug drops off the claim...a move that he does this often and he wins with this move. A 72 Beyer number as she finished third was strong.....if she repeats that number she will have her picture taken at the winner's circle......Moreover, She has the right style....she can sprint with speed or sit back and wait till the rabbits melt down and then she can mow them down one by one turning for home.

Appealing Resume is on my watch list.........She wins period.........14 lifetime victories........More importantly she is two for two over the course......I like her and I will bet her with a win and place bet.

The shipper Shy Rosa is facing easier horses and is cutting back in distance......She was a winner over the poly in Keeneland this spring.

Oscillator can win this dash if she is fit and ready coming back after a lay off. I saw her run last March and today is her first claiming race in her lifetime.........beware if she is cranked up!


             1. Appealing Resume   bet to win and place
             2. Tim's Go Girl
             3. Shy Rosa''

             LONG SHOT  ( OSCILLATOR)
 
DAILY DOUBLE  5 WITH 1



RACE 2


Bob Baffert has blue-blood Opsec  that is bred for the turf.......He debut he flew home and was unlucky not to win on the all weather track. His mom won on the turf as her baby colt's won four times......This is his third start after racing on the poly.......like I said his debut was awesome!

Play Hard To Get gets the hottest turf jockeys on this circuit......His last start he move to quickly and blew his changes......I expect he will go off as one of the favorites with Candy's Shoes     He adds blinkers......He too blew his last start at the starting gate......He needs a clean break! He finished third two times in four starts....


TAKE NOTE THIS RACE JUST MIGHT BE A COIN FLIP!


            1. Opsec
            2. Play Hard To Get
            3. Candy's Shoes


           LONG SHOT    MAPPING



 


RACE 3


ANALYSIS:

I was impressed with Green Tag morning line at 8 to 1........I like Tag as Victor Garcia claimed him.......excellent first off the claim..........He never had a break as he draw the rail and that day the rail was not the place to be.......Jockeys that day were trying to get off the inside because there was a track bias......Today he is not on the rail.

Red N Black Attack cuts his claiming price in half.......not a good sign but he did win in June at this level at this track makes him a contender.

Time To Go Robo won with double digits odds.....as he relishes the surface as that is a major asset over this course. There is plenty of speed because he is a Silky Sullivan type runner.

Dallon's Gold has four wins with 9 starts........He ships down from Washington and won......he gets the acid test on class.


             1. Green Tag
             2. Red N Black Attack
             3.  Time To Go Robo''

              LONG SHOT  DALLON'S GOLD



RACE 4


ANALYSIS:

Look Masochistic won like a Monster when he was in Kentucky.......He is the quickest and fastest horse in this field.......He is the one to fear!

Celebrity Status flew home to get second in a highly regarded key race over this course......He can beat the top choice because he cuts back in distance and he needs Masochistic to run a sub par race.........His wins have been when he is sprinting going around one turn.....today is around one turn.

My Samurai Warrior is game and I said very game and very talented.......finished third and a fourth in 2 races......He needs a speed meltdown to win.......He will need his A game to beat my other top choices.


          1.  Masochistic
          2.  Celebrity Status'
          3.  Kristo    

          LONG SHOT MY SAMURAI WARRIOR        







 



RACE 5


ANALYSIS:

Marina Del Heat trained by Barry Adams was talented last year......after two sub par races....Barry put him on the shelf. He raced this month and it was a sprint prep race as he needed that race.....He was talented when he was three year old and now as a four year old he is more mature.......the distance fits him to a tee......love the morning line of 20 to 1........do not dismiss.......but betting him still will be a gamble as Market Quote and Unusual Style and Stylish In Black are the top players in this race.......Let's take a gamble with Marina Del Heat over Market Quote and Unusual Style.


             1. Marina Del Heat
             2. Market Quote
             3. Unusual Style'

            LONG SHOT STYLISH IN BLACK


RACE 6



ANALYSIS:

Sir Irish Danny sired by Unusual Heat should relish the all weather course. Doug O'Neil trains and the hot jockey E. Trujillo rides this blue blood pedigree on the poly track.

Fifty Federales a first timer.......He is bred to be quick early and bred to win early in his career........watch the tote for more clues.

Player's Charm has been second and third in four lifetime starts......He should be the favorite at post time.


        1. Sir Irish Danny'
        2. Fifty Federales
        3. Player's Charm

       LONG SHOT QUITE THUNDER


RACE 7


ANALYSIS:

I have Demonica on my watch list.......I will bet him over Mindfully and Steel Lady.


          1. Demonica
          2. Mindfully
          3. Steel Lady

           LONG SHOT  BILGER'S SAPPHIRE



RACE 8


ANALYSIS:

I have always like Bright Thought........He needed last start and had a ton of trouble getting caught in tight with traffic......I expect he will be much tighter today as Bejarano rides this classy horse.......

         1. Bright Thought 
         2. Fire With Fire
         3. Big John B

        LONG SHOT  SI SAGE


RACE 9


ANALYSIS:


Peacenik won four races then needed a rest......He comes back with Mike Smith riding him.....I like his stalking style. Jovita's Tuffy ran a mere prep.......the trainer is good spotting him for a win.  Bluegrass Reward has back class that can smoke this field........comes back fresh with nice works.......


              1. Peacenik
              2. Jovita's Tuffy
              3. Bluegrass Reward

             long shot   Golden  Triumph


RACE 10


ANALYSIS:

Home Maid Brownie was taken out of his debut breaking in the air...........love the Unusal Heat pedigree and Martin re-rides this one....nice fast works.


            1. Home Maid Brownie
            2. Wild Caroline

            3. My Sweet Afleet


 
 
 

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