Thursday, May 10, 2012

BETFAIR THURSDAY

                             BETTING STRATEGY


                             BANK $100.00




RACE 1

A route race for 16 G claimers......a small field with Yankee Dan stretching out in distance. He exits a key race where he beat Tribal Dreams who returned to win twice. The short priced favorite at post time. I bet Warren´s Marshall in his maiden winning race...now he drops in a age restricted claimer.... He warrants respect. Super Candy......love the pedigree...... He gets weight off as Eswan rides this Candy Ride gelding.


             1. Yankee Dan     (PAID $3.20)
             
            






RACE 2

The bottom of the claiming ranks.....both Musical Grace and Roulette It Roll will press a modest pace.....I expect Musical Grace to be on the lead..... She looks ready to take this field as far as she can go. RI Roll has gas..... will be sent early with the new bug boy on her.....the favorite I expect at post time is Warren´s Hopeful.....she is the one to beat in this highly suspect field. She will stalk the speed and roll turning for home. Hard to trust this field.....very weak!

               1.  Warren´s Hopeful  (PAID $3.80)
               2.  Musical Grace
               3.  Roulette It Roll


$20 DAILY DOUBLE 2 WITH 6

PAID $11.60







RACE 3

A maiden 30 G routing with a number of fillies and mares dropping in class. Hard to really trust this field here. Ellis is good with dropping in class after facing much better. Cee´s The Year fits this profile .....speed and the drop in class makes her the low price favorite.....Wildakceleration the finished in the money five times....She is sharp ....in current form...warrants respect. Love And Faith.....beware.....drops first time in for a tag. Freckles Galore beat the filly Ricsprentiousgal who won Sunday against winners.....She is a contender. Demonsterous changed barns.....Tab the switch to Jorge Periban.....while returning to the cushion track........very interesting at a large price.



           1. Cee´s The Year  ´  (PAID  $5.20)
           2. Love And Faith
           3. Freckles Galore

          Longshot Wildakceleration





RACE 4

A restricted 16 G claimer......A pace looks soft......Jim´s Decision has both tactical speed and sprint speed. He should get a good trip from the outside post. Minister D Óro likes this track....Good odds and my value bet....in a suspect bunch.....Remember Peter Miller trains at this track. Warren´s Kong runs better on the cushion track then anywhere else....He has a long look for the win here.

          1. Minister D Or
          2. Warren´s Kong
          3. Jim´s Decision       (PAID $6.40)





RACE 5

A optional allowance claimer on the turf for three year old fillies going one mile. Gittel is the speed of this race.....come catch her on the front end....She gets back on turf as Janet Armstrong has her cranked up for a big race on the outside.......Trois Aureole by Smart Srike looked good breaking her maiden.....She will be closing turning for home. Island Paradise drops in class after running in a stake´s race. Mia Isabella had to need her last start.....She is on my watch list.....expect much better with a race under her belt. Love Stealer exits a highly regarded maiden races where a number of gals have come out of theses races and won..... do not sell short for the win.

          1. Lovestealer
          2. Island Paradise
          3. Trois Aureloe   (PAID $9.60)

        

Start of the late pick 4   1,3,7 with 9 with 1 with 4,6

PAID $529.40

Pick Three  1,3,7 with 9 with 1

PAID $65.20





RACE 6

A maiden 50 G sprint.....This is a real grab bag of a maiden filly sprint......it looks like Julio´s filly D´Princess will press the pace. She cuts back in distance with speed..... Valeria ran a very good race with So She Dances getting third. Propero second time out .....she drops from open company to face these. The first time starter with Sadler and Rosario looks scary to me with Cupid´s Bling....The high price filly Cash In hand by Dixieland Union looks very scary from the outside post.....Hoffman is very good with first time starters.



          1. D´Princess     (PAID $5.20)
          2. Cupid´s Bling
          3. Valeria

          Longshot Cash In Hand





RACE 7

The feature race on this Thursday card. A small field of five in this allowance route race in the cushion track. Rock And Glory if she repeats her maiden win.....over a very slopppy track at Santa Anita Park and transfer´s that performance on this cushion track.....then she will be the one to beat....alot of if´s but she does have the pedigree to move up facing winners for the first time.... Come Catch her if you can.....She is the one to beat. Bella´s Fantasy drops out of the Santa Anita Oaks to face this small field. She has talent! Heidi Maria just finally might have found a field she can beat...she will be picking off horses turning for home. Jinny Jump Up is a interesting filly that will be overlooked at the betting windows.... do not just dismiss her in this short field....She has the right off the pace closing style....if she handles the cushion track she will close.




            1. Rock And Glory    (PAID $4.00)
            2. Bella`s Fantasy
            3. Heidi Maria

            Longshot Jinny Jump Up









RACE 8


A Cal Bred turf maiden special weight race sprinting ends the nightcap. Angel´s Moon has speed on the outside post. She will press the pace...with Saturday Nite Wish.....her third start on the turf.  She has a shot to win.The first time starter by Unusal Heat ......Unusual Daring acts like a scary filly .....She has a solid work pattern by Mullins....who has been hot with babies....looks like a runner to me. I like the pedigree on the first time starter Marlenadarlena....ultra solid work tab for trainer Jay Robbins....Gomez sits around for the filly Attigirl..... a first time starter by Mike Pyupe.....looks like a runner here.




                1. Angel´s Moon
                2. Saturday Nite Wish  (PAID $24.20
                3. Unusual Darling

                 Longshot  Marlenadarlena

               








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