RACE 1
Ohhhh What a Wise Guy with Amy's Outburst looks to press a fast pace. The pace might set up for Geniality from off the pace. I like Amy's Outburst in this spot. I like the pedigree of Tizbud filly...Bud And Brandy....looks very live first time out. My main concern is Tizbud fillies might need a race or two before uploading here...check her out during the pre-race warm up.
RACE 2
At this level Wall Street Wonder who exits a highly regarded race at Hollywood where this five year old won......He is fresh coming off the bench. Bench The Judge should be stalking behind the speed or if need be pressing the pace. The unknown X factor is Circle Drive coming back off a lay off of 11 months...... trainer might have him ready to fly by at the wire.
1. Wall Street Wonder
2. Circle Drive
3. Bench The Judge
RACE 3
The speed looks like Kids Table dropping after pressing the pace with much better company. Red flag maybe with the drop after being claimed for 40 G's. This race looks very suspect and weak....hard to trust any here. I expect Tiz Heartless to press the pace with Martin Pedroza re-riding her after a trouble trip at the bull-ring.
1. Tiz Heartless
2. Kids Table....looks to be the favorite here
3. Winforlin
RACE 4
Royal Chavela pressed the pace facing winners for the first time. The grey should improve after getting beaten by three lengths....good betting race with double digit odds. Mo Cheese has speed in a race with no early speed type runners.....might not get collar this time around. Katy's Kitty exits the same race as Mo Cheese and Royal Chavela......beat Katy's Kitty by one .....plenty of speed in the race which is completely different in this race...the pace makes the race....Blue Grass Music is wheeled back quickly..... gets the leading trainer and jockey who has been red hot after winning 5 races Sunday.
1. Royal Chavela
2. Mo Cheese
3. Katy's Kitty
RACE 5
Nearly Was Mine has never run this low of a claiming level before..... lot's to like ......adds the blinkers and switches to Go-Go who rides....All De Victors might just be trying to steal this race on the front end.....fresh and deadly with speed. Bartok's Bonus had to need his last race. He should improve with this added distance. He is bred to go long......X factor with double digit odds. Sidepocket Kid has trouble in his last start. I expect he should improve with a clean trip. Praise For Daubi should love the added distance.......gets the rail to come off the pace.
1. Nearly Was Mine
2. Praise For Daubi
3. All De Victors
Late Pick Four
The fifth a cheap suspect race is a spread....I will use most of this field on my ticket.....
5th
I will use 1,2 and 5 with 6 in the sixth race.
6th
In the seventh I will use Summer Movie....hopefully Art Sherman has Summer Movie cranked up for a big performance on the dirt.
7th ( Summer Movie)
8th
In the last leg I will use four horse...the top contenders with two 20 to 1 longshots......
RACE 6
Syncobeat is better on the surface and better at this distance. If he runs back to last year he has a shot in a race that looks very wide open. Shem should press the pace with Sycobeat. Isle Of Prado is a contender turning for home. He need to catch the speed which looks to be Shem and Synocobeat with Rosario's horse Coluda who has been off more then a year.....but a deadly trainer and jockey combo.
Pick three 1,2,5,6 with 4 with 5,6,10,12
RACE 7
Summer Movie's dad Holy Bull was a monster on the dirt. I expect Summer Movie to win this race.
1. Summer Movie
RACE 8
The pace is Song By West pressing the fast pace with the maiden special weight dropper closing on him turning for home...Warren's Boogie.....I will add two longshot's in my late pick four .....Virginia Way and Offlee Cute who both showed speed and both had a somewhat troubled trip in comebacker.Way
1. Song By West
2. Warren's Boogie
3. Offlee Cute with Virginia
Thursday, October 20, 2011
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